April 10, 2025

Oil prices dip, see weekly losses as markets brace for US-China trade war

Investing.com-- Oil prices fell in Asian trade on Friday, reversing course after a short-lived rebound this week as traders fretted over the impact of a rapidly escalating trade war between the U.S. and China.

Prices were also headed for their second straight week in red, amid growing concerns over demand pressures and increased supplies in the coming months.

Brent oil futures expiring in June fell 0.3% to $63.13 a barrel, while West Texas Intermediate crude futures fell 0.5% to 59.36 a barrel by 20:58 ET (00:58 GMT).

Oil near 4-year low, set for weekly decline

Oil prices remained close to an over four-year low hit earlier this month, as concerns over slowing demand rose sharply in the face of increased U.S. trade tariffs. Brent and WTI prices were set to lose about 3.7% each this week.

While President Donald Trump did postpone plans to impose reciprocal tariffs against most countries by 90 days, he still proceeded with increased tariffs on China. U.S. tariffs on Chinese goods now stand at 145%.

Beijing decried the move, retaliating with its own tariffs earlier this week, while also vowing to “fight to the end.” China imposed 84% tariffs on U.S. goods.

Traders feared that a renewed U.S.-China trade war will hurt oil demand, especially given that China, the world’s biggest oil importer, faces steep trade tariffs.

China is expected to ramp up its stimulus measures to offset the impact of Trump’s tariffs.

But softer-than-expected inflation data released on Thursday showed persistent pressure on the world’s second-largest economy.

Markets were also concerned over the economic impact on the U.S., given that the country still imports several Chinese goods which will be difficult to replace.

EIA slashes oil price outlook, sees softer demand

The U.S. Energy Information Administration on Thursday cut its oil demand forecasts through 2026, warning that tariffs were clouding the global economic outlook and could batter oil prices in the coming months.

The EIA also cut its oil price forecasts for 2025 and 2026, highlighting increased uncertainty in energy markets from fears of slowing growth.

The EIA cut its forecast of 2025 global oil demand growth by about 300,000 barrels-per-day to 900,000 bpd. It expects 2026 oil demand to rise by 1 million bpd, down from prior forecasts of 1.2 million bpd.

The EIA also expects Brent to average around $67.87 a barrel in 2025, down sharply from its prior forecast of $74.22 a barrel.

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