April 28, 2025

Eaton’s outlook upgraded to positive by Moody’s Ratings

Investing.com -- Moody’s Ratings has revised the ratings outlook for Eaton (NYSE: ETN ) Corporation and its rated subsidiaries, Eaton Capital Unlimited Company and Turlock Corporation, to positive from stable on April 28, 2025. The credit rating agency also confirmed Eaton’s senior unsecured ratings at A3 and its backed commercial paper program rating at Prime-2.

The outlook change reflects Moody’s expectation that Eaton will maintain a strong credit profile despite macroeconomic and tariff challenges. Moody’s predicts that Eaton’s debt-to-EBITDA will remain below 2.5x, supported by robust cash generation. The firm’s double-digit order and backlog growth in its Electrical and Aerospace segments is expected to provide revenue visibility. Moody’s also anticipates that Eaton will maintain a balanced financial policy, funding share buybacks from internal cash generation.

Eaton’s A3 senior unsecured rating is a reflection of the company’s position as a diversified manufacturer with substantial scale, generating approximately $25 billion in revenue and maintaining an EBITDA margin above 20%. The company’s balanced business portfolio spans the industrial, commercial, and residential markets. Eaton’s strong market positions across the electrical power spectrum, including power generation, transmission, and consumption, are also noted. The company’s diverse market exposure allows it to counter cyclical trends in any one of its markets. Growth in Eaton’s data center, utility, and aerospace businesses is expected to continue supporting revenue growth.

However, some of Eaton’s business caters to cyclical sectors like automotive and residential, which introduces variability to demand trends. Eaton, like other manufacturers, will also have to navigate the impacts of tariffs, persistent inflation, and slower macroeconomic growth. The company’s strong liquidity and balanced capital allocation policy, with debt/EBITDA below 2.5x, further support Moody’s credit view of the company.

Moody’s positive outlook is based on the expectation that Eaton will deliver strong operating results and robust free cash flow while keeping debt/EBITDA below 2.5x.

The ratings could be upgraded if Eaton continues to improve operating earnings and maintain strong cash generation. A well-balanced financial policy with debt/EBITDA at or below 2.5x could also support a ratings upgrade. Conversely, the ratings could be downgraded if Eaton’s operating performance and cash flow weaken. Aggressive financial policies that include large debt-financed acquisitions or shareholder returns that push debt/EBITDA closer to 3.0x could also lead to a ratings downgrade. Acquisitions that introduce substantial integration risk or increase the complexity of Eaton’s operating structure could also pressure the ratings downward.

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